Hamas-Israel War: A Brief Analysis of First Two Phases of War
Abstract
At the end of 2023, the Middle East experienced some new challenges. Among these new challenges, one of the most important of them all is the Hamas-Israel war. After almost four months of war and no end in sight, there are now growing questions about whether Israel will be able to accomplish its stated goals in Gaza. The brutality of the Hamas’s attack on October 7, the extent of the cruel massacre, shocked both the Israeli society and foreign public opinion. To better understand the factors of Hamas's operational success, the strategic surprise attack on Israel from Gaza, on October 7, 2023, needs a thorough analysis to understand all its political, intelligence, and operational failures aspects. It goes without saying that many elements of Hamas's brutal but largely successful attack are still unknown. Taking this into account, this paper focuses on only three elements of the ongoing war. Firstly, based on the qualitative methodology of research, this study evaluates and highlights the political background of the bloodiest attack in modern Israel's history which happened on October 7, 2023. Secondly, using the research methodology of data collection and analysis, this paper seeks to answer the still open-ended question, how was Hamas able to attack a country which operates one of the best intelligence organizations in the world by an extreme surprise? Finally, by using the narrative and historical models of qualitative research and the available data, this paper focuses on assessing the first and second phases of the war. Furthermore, the study formulates conclusions regarding the expected directions of change in the Israeli security system and some aspects of regional security implications of the ongoing Hamas-Israeli conflict. The potential result of the current paper is to present the reasons for the ongoing Gaza conflict based on the historical background. In addition, it provides a primary analysis, based on currently available information, of the first two phases of the obviously protracted Hamas-Israel conflict for the benefit of the community of researchers, scholars, and academics.
Downloads
Metrics
PlumX Statistics
References
2. Al Jazeera (2023). Israel announces ‘total’ blockade on Gaza, 9 October. Downloaded from
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/10/9/israel-announces-total-blockade-on-gaza on 25 January 2024
3. Al Jazeera (2006). Hamas wins huge victory, 26 January 2006, Downloaded from https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2006/1/26/hamas-wins-huge-majority on 11 January 2024
4. Alex Hollings and Stavros Atlamazoglou (2023). Was Israel’s IRON DOME overwhelmed, overhyped, or right on target? Sandbox 12 October 2023. Downloaded from https://www.sandboxx.us/news/was-israels-iron-dome-overwhelmed-overhyped-or-right-on-target/ on 23. January 2024
5. Amr Hazawy (2023). The Political Impact of the Israel-Hamas Ceasefire. Carnegie. 06 December. Downloaded from https://carnegieendowment.org/2023/12/06/political-impact-of-israel-hamas-ceasefire-pub-91177 on 24 January 2024
6. Annika Burgess (2023). What is Israel's Iron Dome air defense system, and did it fail during the Hamas attack? ABC Net. 09 October 2023. Downloaded from https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-10-10/what-is-israel-iron-dome-air-defence-gaza-rockets/102952172 on 02 February 2024
7. Arie Arnon (2007). Israeli Policy towards the Occupied Palestinian Territories: The Economic Dimension, 1967-2007. Published By: Middle East Institute, Middle East Journal, Vol 61. No4, p. 573
8. Arieh J. Kochavi (1998). The Struggle against Jewish Immigration to Palestine Middle Eastern Studies, Vol. 34, No.3, July. pp. 146-167
9. Azzam Tamini (2007). Hamas: a history from within. Publisher Northampton, Mass. Olive Branch Press ISBN 9781566566896 pp 25-27
10. Benny Morris (1948). A History of the First Arab-Israeli War, 2008, Yale University Press. ISBN: 9780300151121. pp. 142-154; 156-158
11. Beverley Milton-Edwards and Stephen Farell Hamas (2010). The Islamic Resistance Movement, Published by Polity Oxford UK, ISBN: 978-0745642963 pp54-56.
12. Bridgett Kendell and Sheikh Yassin (2004). Spiritual figurehead, BBC, 22 March 2004. Downloaded from http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/middle_east/2001/israel_and_the_palestinians/profiles/1695470.stm on 11 January 2024
13. Daniel Levin (2020). History of Iran, Hamas, and Islamic Jihad Ties. United States Institute for Peace. 11 October 2023. Switzerland, ISSN 1561-5502. p.20.
14. Ely Karmon (2023). The Goals of Hamas’ Terrorist Attack on Israel from Gaza. International Institute for Counter-Terrorism (ICT). October. special report Downloaded from
http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep53546 on 02 February 2024
15. Emanuel Fabian (2023). Four killed, 5 injured in Hamas-claimed terror shooting at Jerusalem bus stop. Jerusalem Post, 30 November 2023. Downloaded from https://www.timesofisrael.com/three-killed-6-injured-in-terror-shooting-at-jerusalem-entrance-bus-stop/ on 05 February 2024
16. Graham Allison (2016). Deterring Terror English Translation of the Official Strategy of the Israel Defense Forces, Belfer Center Science and International Affairs, Cambridge, MA, USA. page 11.
17. Holly Fletcher (2008). Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Council on Foreign Relations, 10 April. Downloaded from https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/palestinian-islamic-jihad on 12 January 2024.
18. Israeli Aerospace Industries (2024). ELM-2084 MMR. Downloaded from https://www.iai.co.il/p/elm-2084-mmr on 02 February.
19. Jeremy Pressman (2020). The Second Intifada: Background and Causes of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict. Journal of Conflict Studies. 23 (2). ISSN 1715-5673. pp 114-115
20. John Reed (2015). Unit 8200, Israel’s Cyber Spy Agency. Financial Times,10 July. Downloaded from
https://www.ft.com/content/69f150da-25b8-11e5-bd83-71cb60e8f08c on 02 February 2024
21. Kamel B. Nashr (1993). Arab and Israeli Terrorism: The Causes and Effects of Political Violence, 1936-1993. McFarland Publishing. NC. USA. ISBN: 978-0786402809. p.98
22. Loren D. Lybarger (2007). Identity and Religion in Palestine: The Struggle between Islamism and Secularism in the Occupied Territories, Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press, Princeton USA, pp. 30-32.
23. Matthew Lewitt (2007). Hamas: Politics, Charity, and Terrorism in the Service of Jihad. Yale University Press. London UK. ISBN: 978-0300122589. p. 156
24. Michael Banchner (2019). Toi Staff: Iran said increasing Hamas funding to $30m per month, wants intel on Israel. the Times of Israel, 5 August. Downloaded from https://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-agrees-to-increase-hamas-funding-to-30-million-per-month-report/ on 12 January 2024.
25. Paola Caridi (2023). Hamas: From Resistance to Regime. Publisher: Seven Stories Press, NY, USA. ISBN: 9781644211892. p 85, 113
26. Rashid Khalidi (2017). The Hundred Years' War on Palestine: A History of Settler Colonialism and Resistance, 1917–2017. Metropolitan Books, ISBN: 9781627798556 pp 137-139
27. Ronen Bergman and Patric Kingsley (2023). How Israel’s Feared Security Services Failed to Stop Hamas’s Attack. The New York Times, 10 October. Downloaded from
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/10/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-security-failure.html on 24 January 2024
28. Tamara Zieve (2012). This week in History: The Arab League Three Nos. Jerusalem Post. 26 August.
29. Tomis Kapitan (2004). Terrorism in the Arab-Israeli Conflict (in Igor Primoratz ed., Terrorism: The Philosophical Issue.) Publisher Palgrave, London UK. ISBN: 9781403918161. p 187
30. TOI Staff (2023). Security cabinet says Israel will destroy military, governmental abilities of Hamas, Islamic Jihad. The Times of Israel, 8 October 2023. Downloaded from
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/security-cabinet-says-israel-will-destroy-military-governmental-abilities-of-hamas-islamic-jihad/ on 28 January 2024
31. TOI Staff (2023). Top Israeli intel unit wasn’t operational on October 7 due to personnel decision, Time of Israel, 28 November. Downloaded from https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-israeli-intel-unit-wasnt-operational-on-october-7-due-to-personnel-decision/ on 21 January 2024
32. Yevgeny Primakov (2009). Russia and the Arabs: Behind the Scenes in the Middle East from the Cold War to the Present Publisher: Basic Books; ISBN: 9780465019977. pp. 311-333.
33. Zaki Chehab (2007). Inside Hamas: The Untold Story of the Militant Islamic Movement. New York: Nation Books. ISBN: 9781560259688. p.87
Copyright (c) 2024 Maria Bordas
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.