Effects of Climate Change on Crop Yield: Is it a Benefit or Menace?
Keywords:
Climate change, yield, CO2, temperature, adaptation, mitigation
Abstract
The review explained the detrimental and beneficial effects of climate change on crop yields of major value crops such as corn, wheat, rice, and soybean. The trend in crop yields of these crops among the largest food producers in the world was examined. The study observed the changes that have occurred in crop yields because of climate change over the years. The changes have effects that cause shifts in temperature and precipitation, rising sea levels, and loss of biodiversity which are detrimental to the environment, economy, and health of humans, plants and animals, and the ecosystem in general. The effects of these changes as observed in plants cause high CO2 levels, increased temperature and precipitation, droughts, floods pests, and diseases. The study emphasized the fact that some phenomena caused by climate change such as CO2 fertilization and increased temperature because of global warming proved to be beneficial to crop yields in specific crops. Further deliberations on the effects on yields looked into the implications of factors such as weather, crop physiology, soil properties, and the economic aspect of how climate change affected the yield of crops. We then emphasized the fact that adaptation and mitigation strategies should be put in place to reduce the effects of climate change on the yield of crops by taking into consideration the beneficial aspects and non-beneficial aspects of climate change.
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References
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17. Eze E., Girma A., Zenebe A., Okolo C.C., Kourouma J.M, & Negash E. (2022) ‘Predictors of drought induced crop yield/losses in two agroecologies of southern Tigray, Northern Ethiopia ‘Scientifc Reports 12:6284 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09862-x
18. Griffin, J.J., T.G. Ranney, D.M. Pharr, (2004). ‘Heat and drought influence photosynthesis, water relations, and soluble carbohydrates of two ecotypes of redbud (Cercis canadensis)’. J. Am. Soc. Hortic. Sci.129, 497-502
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20. Helman D. & David J. Bonfil D.J. (2022) ‘Six decades of warming and drought in the world’s top wheat producing countries ofset the benefts of rising CO2 to yield’ Scientifc Reports (2022) 12:7921 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-11423-1
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24. Matzrafi, M., Brunharo, C., Tehranchian, P. et al. (2019) ‘Increased temperatures and elevated CO2 levels reduce the sensitivity of Conyza canadensis and Chenopodium album to glyphosate’. Sci Rep 9, 2228 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-38729-x
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29. Parrya, M.L, Rosenzweigb C., Iglesiasc A, Livermored M., Fischere G. (2004), ‘Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios’ Elsevier Journal of Global Environmental Change 14 (2004) 53–67
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31. Santini M., Noce S., Antonelli M & Caporaso L (2022) ‘Complex drought patterns robustly explain global yield loss for major crops.’ Scientifc Reports |12:5792 |https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09611-0
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33. Sharma R.K., Sunny Kumar , Vatta K., Bheemanahalli R., Dhillon J. & Reddy K.N. (2022) ‘Impact of recent climate change on corn, rice, and wheat in southeastern USA’ Scientifc Reports 12:16928
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21454-3
34. Shuai Chen, Xia Oguang Chen, and Jinta o (2014) Xu Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture Evidence from China Environment for Development Discussion Paper Series EfD DP 1407
35. Sultan B., Defrance D., and Iizumi T. (2019) ‘Evidence of crop production losses in West Africa due to historical global warming in two crop models’ Scientific Reports | 9:12834
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019 49167-0
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40. Walker N.J., Schulze R.E., (2006). ‘An assessment of sustainable maize production under different management and climate scenarios for smallholder agroecosystems in KwaZulu Natal, South Africa’. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 31: 995-1002.
41. Wang D., Jenkins K., Forstenhäusler N., Lei T., Price J., Warren R., Jenkins R., Guan D. (2021) ‘Economic impacts of climate-induced crop yield changes: evidence from agri-food industries in six countries’ Climatic Change 166: 30
42. World Bank DataBank (2023) ‘Yield of cereal crops among the largest crop producers in the world’ World Bank Development
Indicators https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.YLD.CREL.KG Online page Accessed October 26, 2023.
43. Zhai, F., and J. Zhuang. 2009. ‘Agricultural Impact of Climate Change: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Special Reference to Southeast Asia’. ADBI Working Paper 131. Tokyo: Asian Development Bank Institute. Available: http://www.adbi.org/workingpaper/2009/02/23/2887.agricultural.impact.climat
44. Zhang P., Junjie Z., and Chen M. (2017). ‘Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: The importance of additional climatic variables other than temperature and precipitation.’ Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 87, 8-31.
45. Zhao H., Zhang L., Kirkham M.B., Welch S.M., Nielsen-Gammon J.W., Bai G., Luo J., Andresen D.A., Rice C.W., Wan N., Lollato R.P., Zheng D., Gowda P.H. & Lin X. (2022) ‘U.S. winter wheat yield loss attributed to compound hot-dry-windy events’ Nature Communications 13:7233
46. Zhao, C., B. Liu, S. Piao, X. Wang, D.B. Lobell, Y. Huang, M. Huang, Y. Yao, S. Bassu, P. Ciais, (2017). ‘Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates’. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 114: 9326-9331
47. Ziervogel G., Nyong A., Osman B., Conde C., Cortés S., and Downing T., (2006). ‘Climate Variability and Change: Implications for Household Food Security’ Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change (AIACC) Working Paper No. 20. Washington, DC 20009 USA
48. Zinyengere N., Crespo O., Hachigonta S.(2013). ‘Crop response to climate change in southern Africa: A comprehensive review’. Global and Planetary Change, 111, pp.118-126.
ff10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.08.010ff. ffhal-01062788f
2. Abraha M.G., Savage M.J., (2006). ‘Potential impacts of climate change on the grain yield of maize for the midlands of KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa’. Agriculture Ecosystems Environment. 115: 150-160.
3. Amenu. B.T. (2017),’Review on Crop Diversity for Climate Change Adaptation’ Journal of Environment and Earth Science www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-3216 (Paper) ISSN 2225-0948 (Online) Vol.7, No.5.
4. Asseng, S., F. Ewert, P. Martre, R.P. Rötter, D.B. Lobell, D. Cammarano, B.A. Kimball, M.J. Ottman, G.W. Wall, J.W. White, M.P. Reynolds, P.D. Alderman, P.V.V. Prasad, P.K. Aggarwal, J. Anothai, B. Basso, C. Biernath, A.J. Challinor, G. De Sanctis, J. Doltra, E. Fereres, M. Garcia-Vila, S. Gayler, G. Hoogenboom, L.A. Hunt, R.C. Izaurralde, M. Jabloun, C.D. Jones, K.C. Kersebaum, A-K. Koehler, C. Müller, S. Naresh Kumar, C. Nendel, G. O'Leary, J.E. Olesen, T. Palosuo, E. Priesack, E. Eyshi Rezaei, A.C. Ruane, M.A. Semenov, I. Shcherbak, C. Stockle, P. Stratonovitch, T. Streck, I. Supit, F. Tao, P.J. Thorburn, K. Waha, E. Wang, D. Wallach, J. Wolf, Z. Zhao, and Y. Zhu, (2015) ‘Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production’. Nat. Clim. Change, 5, no. 2, 143-147,
doi:10.1038/nclimate2470.
5. Backlund, P., A. Janetos, D.S. Schimel, J. Hatfield, M.G. Ryan, S.R. Archer, and D. Lettenmaier, (2008). ‘Executive Summary. In: The effects of climate change on agriculture, land resources, water resources, and biodiversity in the United States’. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research.Washington, DC., USA
6. Barnabás, B., K. Jäger, A. Fehér, (2008). ‘The effect of drought and heat stress on reproductive processes in cereals’. Plant Cell Environ. 31, 11-38
7. Bento V.A., Ribeiro A.F.S, Russo A., Gouveia C.M., Cardoso R.M. & Soares P.M.M. (2021) ‘The impact of climate change in wheat and barley yields in the Iberian Peninsula’ Scientifc Reports 11:15484 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-95014-6
8. Blanc E. (2012) ‘The Impact of Climate Change on Crop Yields in Sub-Saharan Africa’ American Journal of ClimateChange, 1, 1-13
9. Bruinsma, J., ed. 2003. World Agriculture: Towards 2015/2030: An FAO Perspective. UK: Earthscan.
10. Cai X., Wang D., and Laurent R. (2009) ‘Impact of Climate Change on Crop Yield: A Case Study of Rainfed Corn in Central Illinois’ Journal of Meteorology and Climatology Vol 48
11. Chakraborty, S. and A.C. Newton, (2011) ‘Climate change, plant diseases and food security: an overview’. Plant Pathology, 60, 2-14
12. Chipanshi A.C., Chanda R., Totolo O., (2003). ‘Vulnerability assessment of the maize and sorghum crops to climate change in Botswana’. Climatic Change 61: 339-360.
13. Cline 2007. ‘Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country’. Washington, DC: Center for Global Development and Peterson Institute for International Economics.
14. Crafts-Brandner S.J., Salvucci M.E. (2002) ‘Sensitivity of photosynthesis in a C4 plant, maize, to heat stress’. Plant Physiol 129: 1773–1780
15. David B Lobell and Christopher B Field (2007) ‘Global scale climate–crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming.’ Environ. Res. Lett. 2 014002
16. Deschênes, O. and Greenstone M. (2007). ‘The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather.’ American Economic Review, 97(1): 354-385.
17. Eze E., Girma A., Zenebe A., Okolo C.C., Kourouma J.M, & Negash E. (2022) ‘Predictors of drought induced crop yield/losses in two agroecologies of southern Tigray, Northern Ethiopia ‘Scientifc Reports 12:6284 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09862-x
18. Griffin, J.J., T.G. Ranney, D.M. Pharr, (2004). ‘Heat and drought influence photosynthesis, water relations, and soluble carbohydrates of two ecotypes of redbud (Cercis canadensis)’. J. Am. Soc. Hortic. Sci.129, 497-502
19. Guntukula R., and Goyari P. (2020) ‘Climate Change Effects on the Crop Yield and Its Variability inmTelangana, India? Studies in Microeconomics 8(1) 119–148
20. Helman D. & David J. Bonfil D.J. (2022) ‘Six decades of warming and drought in the world’s top wheat producing countries ofset the benefts of rising CO2 to yield’ Scientifc Reports (2022) 12:7921 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-11423-1
21. IPCC (2007). Climate Change 2007. Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland.
22. IPCC. (2007). Summary for Policymakers. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis; Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; pp. 1–18.
23. Knox J.W., Rodriguez Diaz J.A., Nixon D.J., Mkhwananzi M., (2010). ‘A preliminary assessment of climate change impacts on sugarcane in Swaziland’. Agricultural Systems 103: 63-72.
24. Matzrafi, M., Brunharo, C., Tehranchian, P. et al. (2019) ‘Increased temperatures and elevated CO2 levels reduce the sensitivity of Conyza canadensis and Chenopodium album to glyphosate’. Sci Rep 9, 2228 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-38729-x
25. Mohammed S., Alsafadi K., Enaruvbe G.O., Bashir B., Elbeltagi A., Széles A., Abdullah Alsalman A. & Harsanyi E (2022) ‘Assessing the impacts of agricultural drought (SPI/ SPEI) on maize and wheat yields across Hungary’ Scientifc Reports 12:8838
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-12799-w
26. Morison, J. I. L. and Matthews, R. B. (eds.) (2016) ‘Agriculture and Forestry Climate Change Impacts Summary Report, Living With Environmental Change’. ISBN 978-0-9934074-0 6 copyright © Living With Environmental Change.
27. Oehninger E., Bertone C., Lin L., and Springborn M.R. (2017). “The effects of climate change on groundwater extraction for agriculture and land-use change.” Mimeo.
28. Parry M.L., Rosenzweig C., Iglesias A., Livermore M.G.F., (2004). ‘Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios’. Global Environmental Change 14: 53-67
29. Parrya, M.L, Rosenzweigb C., Iglesiasc A, Livermored M., Fischere G. (2004), ‘Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios’ Elsevier Journal of Global Environmental Change 14 (2004) 53–67
30. Petersen L.K. (2019) ‘Impact of Climate Change on Twenty-First Century Crop Yields in the U.S’ Climate 2019, 7, 40 Climate, 7(3), 40; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli7030040
31. Santini M., Noce S., Antonelli M & Caporaso L (2022) ‘Complex drought patterns robustly explain global yield loss for major crops.’ Scientifc Reports |12:5792 |https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-09611-0
32. Schlenker W., and M.J. Roberts. (2009). ‘Nonlinear Temperature Effects indicate Severe Damages to U.S. Crop Yields under Climate Change.’ Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106(37): 15594-15598
33. Sharma R.K., Sunny Kumar , Vatta K., Bheemanahalli R., Dhillon J. & Reddy K.N. (2022) ‘Impact of recent climate change on corn, rice, and wheat in southeastern USA’ Scientifc Reports 12:16928
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21454-3
34. Shuai Chen, Xia Oguang Chen, and Jinta o (2014) Xu Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture Evidence from China Environment for Development Discussion Paper Series EfD DP 1407
35. Sultan B., Defrance D., and Iizumi T. (2019) ‘Evidence of crop production losses in West Africa due to historical global warming in two crop models’ Scientific Reports | 9:12834
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019 49167-0
36. Tubiello, F.N., Ewert, F., (2003). ‘Simulating the effects of elevated CO2 on crops: approaches and applications for climate change’. European Journal of Agronomy, in press.
37. United Nations (2017) ‘Sustainable Development Goals: 17 Goals To Transform our World’ Press Release United Nations Department of Public Information 405 East 42nd Street, New York, NY 10017
38. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (2011) ‘Climate change science – the status of climate change science today’ Fact sheet Pages 1-7 February 2011.
39. Vose R., Easterling D. & Gleaso, B. (2005). ‘Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe: An update through 2004’. Geophysical Research Letters - vol 32. 10.1029/2005GL024379.
40. Walker N.J., Schulze R.E., (2006). ‘An assessment of sustainable maize production under different management and climate scenarios for smallholder agroecosystems in KwaZulu Natal, South Africa’. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 31: 995-1002.
41. Wang D., Jenkins K., Forstenhäusler N., Lei T., Price J., Warren R., Jenkins R., Guan D. (2021) ‘Economic impacts of climate-induced crop yield changes: evidence from agri-food industries in six countries’ Climatic Change 166: 30
42. World Bank DataBank (2023) ‘Yield of cereal crops among the largest crop producers in the world’ World Bank Development
Indicators https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.YLD.CREL.KG Online page Accessed October 26, 2023.
43. Zhai, F., and J. Zhuang. 2009. ‘Agricultural Impact of Climate Change: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Special Reference to Southeast Asia’. ADBI Working Paper 131. Tokyo: Asian Development Bank Institute. Available: http://www.adbi.org/workingpaper/2009/02/23/2887.agricultural.impact.climat
44. Zhang P., Junjie Z., and Chen M. (2017). ‘Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: The importance of additional climatic variables other than temperature and precipitation.’ Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 87, 8-31.
45. Zhao H., Zhang L., Kirkham M.B., Welch S.M., Nielsen-Gammon J.W., Bai G., Luo J., Andresen D.A., Rice C.W., Wan N., Lollato R.P., Zheng D., Gowda P.H. & Lin X. (2022) ‘U.S. winter wheat yield loss attributed to compound hot-dry-windy events’ Nature Communications 13:7233
46. Zhao, C., B. Liu, S. Piao, X. Wang, D.B. Lobell, Y. Huang, M. Huang, Y. Yao, S. Bassu, P. Ciais, (2017). ‘Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates’. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 114: 9326-9331
47. Ziervogel G., Nyong A., Osman B., Conde C., Cortés S., and Downing T., (2006). ‘Climate Variability and Change: Implications for Household Food Security’ Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change (AIACC) Working Paper No. 20. Washington, DC 20009 USA
48. Zinyengere N., Crespo O., Hachigonta S.(2013). ‘Crop response to climate change in southern Africa: A comprehensive review’. Global and Planetary Change, 111, pp.118-126.
ff10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.08.010ff. ffhal-01062788f
Published
2024-08-08
How to Cite
Odeyomi, O. A., Ejimakor, G., & Isikhuemhen, O. S. (2024). Effects of Climate Change on Crop Yield: Is it a Benefit or Menace?. European Scientific Journal, ESJ, 32, 42. Retrieved from https://eujournal.org/index.php/esj/article/view/18423
Section
ESI Preprints
Copyright (c) 2024 Omowunmi A. Odeyomi, Godfrey Ejimakor, Omoanghe S. Isikhuemhen
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
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