OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND NIGERIAN ECONOMIC GROWTH

  • Ibrahim Alley PhD student of Economics at the University of Ibadan
  • Ayodele Asekomeh Lecturer at Centre for Energy, Petroleum, Mineral Law and Policy (CEPMLP), University of Dundee, UK
  • Hakeem Mobolaji Senior lecturer at the Department of Economics, University of Ilorin
  • Yinka A. Adeniran MSc student of Economics at the University of Ibadan

Abstract

This study employs the general methods of moment (GMM) to examine the impact of oil price shocks on the Nigerian economy, using data from 1981 to 2012. After appropriate robustness checks, the study finds out that oil price shocks insignificantly retards economic growth while oil price itself significantly improves it. The significant positive effect of oil price on economic growth confirms the conventional wisdom that oil price increase is beneficial to oil-exporting country like Nigeria. Shocks however create uncertainty and undermine effective fiscal management of crude oil revenue; hence the negative effect of oil price shocks.

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Published
2014-07-30
How to Cite
Alley, I., Asekomeh, A., Mobolaji, H., & Adeniran, Y. A. (2014). OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND NIGERIAN ECONOMIC GROWTH. European Scientific Journal, ESJ, 10(19). https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2014.v10n19p%p